You nail one trade, then lose the next. Same strategy, different result.
Sound familiar?
Most traders struggle with consistency – not because they lack effort, but because their strategy doesn’t cater for reality. Some races are chaotic, others stable. Applying yourself ends in frustration, losses, and blown banks.
The top 5% of traders adapt ahead of time. They know when to go aggressive and when to play it safe.
Let’s break down how you can do the same…
Not All Races Are Equal – You Have to STOP Doing This!
One of the biggest mistakes horse racing traders make is assuming all markets behave similarly – they don’t. Trading isn’t about you, the markets couldn’t care less about you (or how you’re feeling). They do what they do for a multitude of reasons…
A maiden race with low liquidity moves wildly, while a high-profile handicap race is stable with steady turnover. If you use the same staking, entry points, and exit strategy for both, you’re setting yourself up for failure. But don’t get confused; it’s not about racing or the horses either. It has to do with how sports betting interacts with it.
Volatile markets (like low-quality maiden races) frequently see sudden spikes and erratic price movements. It’s why the bookies are scared of them. Large stakes can move the market, making it harder to get in and out smoothly. I don’t view this as a good or bad thing, just a different opportunity.
On the other end of the spectrum…
Stable markets (like group races and big-field handicaps) attract large volumes and often have lots of previous form. There’s less movement but also less risk of being caught out by wild swings. This is why they’re usually better if you’re scalping Betfair.
Noticing these differences is the first step. Next, let’s look at some results and talk about the approach…
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Now that you know not all races behave the same, how should you adjust your trading?
How to Optimize Your Strategy:
The Saturday afternoon results above are quite telling – look at race titles for the poorer results in particular.
A Novice Handicap Chase was the worst result of all. Beyond that, it was a Novice Hurdle a few races previous. The best result? A Grade 2 Chase.
Now there’s always going to be the odd exception that creeps through but this paints quite a clear picture – know your strengths (and play to them).
Failing to know your strengths (or adapt your clicking) is the quickest way to pickle your head. It encourages emotional reactions, mis-clicking and aggressive trading when it’s not the right time or place. This is very much a double-edged sword as the saying goes.
Advanced traders often flip between different trading styles, because they have to!
So, for clarity…
For volatile markets (low-quality betting races):
- Use smaller stakes – Big bets can move the market and trap you in bad positions.
- Be quick with exits – Prices shift rapidly, so cut losses fast.
- Look for early momentum – These races often see sharp movements before settling.
For stable markets (group races & some handicaps):
- Increase stakes confidently – Higher liquidity means your money won’t move the price as much.
- Hold positions longer – Trends develop gradually, giving you time to react.
- Follow smart money – Large volumes indicate where the market is heading.
The key to consistency is to stop forcing one strategy onto every market. Instead, learn to read the conditions and adapt.
Knowing how to adapt your trading to different markets is a big deal – but it’s just the beginning. The real difference comes from having a structured, proven strategy that removes the guesswork and builds long-term profits on logical reasoning. This is exactly what the video pack course is about. It’s a short-cut in learning (a cheap one at that).
Think about it, these 3 points are well worth focusing on after-all:
- When to enter and exit trades based on market conditions
- How to manage risk and stake correctly for different race types
- The key patterns and signals top traders use every day
Check it out on the link below!
2 thoughts on “Why 95% of Betfair Traders Can’t Do THIS – Are You Missing Out?”
When trading for smaller stakes I do ok, as soon as I try to scale up I invariably come a cropper, I trade horses and Tennis I do try to stick to the larger volumes.
any one else have this issue, its almost like the change in stake size is effecting my judgement in a subtle way that I am having trouble pining down.
Honest Micky28
Really helpful article more gold like this please.