Using the right football statistics is key, be it for football trading or betting.
FootyStats is one of my favourite websites to use when researching football stats.
It has a huge amount of helpful info, but I feel the site focuses more on what’s important from a trading point of view. You have two ways of researching stats using FootyStats; break them down by the stats or research by the league.
I usually opt for the league, because for example, BTTS (Both Teams To Score) might be of interest to me – but only on the leagues Betfair offer.
Advantages Of Using FootyStats:
Here’s a top-level screenshot of the Premier League data…
Some of my favourite stats to use when trading the goals market are:
- xG (Expected Goals)
- BTTS (Both Teams To Score)
- Clean Sheet Percentage
- Time Of Goals
- Home & Away Form
- Average Goal Time
Depending on what market you are trading, some stats are more important than others. Apart from all those stats, I like the percentage feature of over 1.5 and 2.5 goals FootyStats have in the League table. Something that strikes me looking at the screenshot is Man City have a really low percentage over 2.5 goals this season. That’s not something most football fans would have guessed. City’s xG has been very impressive lately, and they will easily win the title – I think most fans of xG thought that last month!
Another nice feature is a wealth of corners and cards. There are plenty of betting and trading angles on those markets. You have to upgrade to access these stats, along with more advanced searches like H2H and team data. But if you’re serious and like betting outside the top leagues, the Premium Service is well worth a crack when you consider the detail that’s on offer.
Finding the Best FootyStats Data:
There are so many stats thrown out in the mainstream media, and most of them used on the likes of Sky Sports and BT Sport are pretty useless to traders. For example; effectively trading the over/under 1.5 goals market centres around time – not particularly relevant to Wolves losing their last five away games.
That’s why I like to focus on Time Of Goals (Goals-per 10 minutes and 15 minutes), both scored and conceded. Let’s take a look at Leicester this season:
Let’s look at the above chart and focus on it from a trading point of view. You don’t want to be scalping under goals during the 21-30 period as there is high activity. Looking at the chart, the best time to scalp unders with Leicester in the first half could be either 11-20 or 31-40. The 31-40 time slot might be better because we should see a bigger time decay than 11-20; but both look OK. The second half tactic looks obvious here – the 61-70 window. Of course, you have to take account of the other team and assess their charts too – but you can see the point in relation to trading strategy.
The average football fan would probably look at betting over the full 90 minutes, but as traders, we don’t need to be in the market that long. We’re just looking for a small section of value within the game and exploiting that. That’s all – keep it simple.
Let’s look at another graph, from Leicester again:
These percentages are a nice graphic to show when they have scored; at home or away. The second half stats can be important, but because Betfair offer over/under 0.5 first-half goals – the first half stats are more important. You could catch a nice back of over 0.5 first-half goals when time decay kicks in if there hasn’t been an early goal. As you can see, it lands 91% of the time with Leicester. Useful research when considering which football trading strategy to use.
There are a handful of stats sites I like for footie trading, but this is one is up there. Being able to drill down into the right area’s fast is a massive benefit when there’s a lot of games on and time is short.
Having the right information at your fingertips won’t make you a successful trader though. You still need to understand the market!
This is why we’ve put together a comprehensive football trading course. It’s been built in a structured and progressive manner, offering a wide range of video-lessons, tutorials and checklists. Full details can be found on the related link below.